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It’s Fed versus market as traders bet balance sheet slows hiking

But a breakout to a higher high had already taken place if you look at the spot price of gold as measured in the Chinese yuan. It moved above its equivalent high on June 3, almost 2 weeks before the dollar price’s breakout. Traders and investors in the USA are used to looking at everything in dollar price terms, because that. more

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Homebuilder sentiment cools in January from 18-year high  · The National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index, which gauges home builder sentiment about the market for single-family homes, fell in January, but remained near an 18-year high. The post New Home Building Dropped Sharply at End of 2017 appeared first on Real Estate News & Insights |® .

I’m betting on the market. Rates versus Balance Sheet. I have no idea why the Fed can’t just say – hey, conditions have changed, we are going to not hike and slow the balance sheet shrinkage and maintain a larger balance sheet than previously thought. The instant reaction will likely be driven by what they say and do on rates.

Fed’s balance-sheet unwind will be moment of truth for financial markets. This shortsighted behavior is especially acute in the stock market. Equity traders look daily for clues to the fate.

So when the markets figure it out and tank, at what point DOES the fed cut? 10% down 20% down 30, 40 50? Or do they just keep reducing their balance sheet and hiking? A lot of people say the fed is concerned with stocks and make decisions based on its movements. I tend to believe it. But that isnt really their mandate.

The Fed versus the Market.. ‘baby step’ rate hike there’s a good chance that the Fed’s next move will be to start reducing the size of its balance sheet by not reinvesting all the proceeds from maturing debt securities. Unless the stock market tanks in the meantime, this balance-sheet.

Traders increasingly bet the Fed’s next move will be to ease.. after the Jan. 29-30 meeting of the Federal Open Market. slow the pace of the reduction in its balance sheet as an initial.

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Over the past 7 years, we as well as others (if not those who believe in magic money trees, or managing other people’s money while blogging) have repeatedly said that when it comes to "market" returns, look no further than the size of the Fed’s balance sheet – the single best indictor of where the S&P500 is headed to next.

It’s Fed versus market as traders bet balance sheet slows hiking Most Federal Reserve officials agree that they will begin shrinking their super-sized balance sheet later this year. Rate hikes April 6, 2017. Rate hikes April 6, 2017.